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How NFL Statistics Lead to Wins, Pt. 2: Quantifying Player Stats into Wins

Published by on May 28, 2009
Article Source: Bleacher Report - NFL

In Part I of this series, we saw how various stats correlated with wins and points scored. Among the observations:

• Rushing attempts correlate better with wins than do passing attempts, because teams with the lead will rush the ball to run out the clock late in the game; but passing statistics—including yards and touchdowns per pass attempt—lead to wins more than rushing stats per attempt do.

• Tackles have a negative correlation with wins, meaning that as tackles go up, wins go down. This is possibly due to the fact that worse teams have less three-and-outs and are on the field on defense longer than better teams; however, if we normalize this by dividing tackles by opponent plays from scrim...

Read Complete Article at Bleacher Report - NFL
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